Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $934.78
- Potential payout
- $12.46K
- Potential profit
- $11.53K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.07K
Polymarket Trader
0x5C2D6fE5A4268b146aBcAA5b73A0322ff77EBd52-1763647053638
0x5c2d6fe5a4268b146abcaa5b73a0322ff77ebd52
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.59K
- Realized PnL
- -$54.18
- Win rate
- 16.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $528.2
- Potential payout
- $556
- Potential profit
- $27.8
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $27.8
No position
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $124
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $36
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $24.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $744.34
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.8
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.62
Yes position
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by February 14?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.5
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.7
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.4
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.75
Yes position
Will Trump say "Davos" or "World Economic Forum" during Iowa speech?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Valentin Vacherot position
Mexican Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Brandon Nakashima
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Zverev position
Mexican Open: Alexander Zverev vs Miomir Kecmanovic
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 3?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$44.24
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$51.8
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$91.92
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 5?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$116.55
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$364.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Yes 64.1% 5 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Yes 64.6% 10 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Yes 65.2% 20.72 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Yes 66.2% 750 shares
- Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?Yes 57.1% 105.08 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 1.8% 250 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 4% 230 shares
- Mexican Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Brandon NakashimaValentin Vacherot 47% 42.55 shares
- Mexican Open: Alexander Zverev vs Miomir KecmanovicZverev 51% 39.22 shares
- Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by February 14?Yes 1.3% 500 shares
- Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 62.4% 160 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 6?Up 51.4% 280 shares