Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$277.78
Polymarket Trader
smasharem
0x5c4f419cffb6d48e90d5d6659989dbb507e53338
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $194.54
- Realized PnL
- $9.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$277.78
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 60+ tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$416.67
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 50-59 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$416.67
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$2.5K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 10-19 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$416.67
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 0-9 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$2.5K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 30-39 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$416.67
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 20-29 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$416.67
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$277.78
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$277.78
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$38.89
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$38.89
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $367.86
- Potential profit
- $367.86
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210.59
- Potential profit
- $210.59
- User PnL
- -$11.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $48.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $51.5
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $38.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5.56
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5.56
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $13.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $86.5
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$36.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $30.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $69.5
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $20.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.95
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$8.95
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $90.5
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$40.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $91.49
- Potential payout
- $91.49
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $81.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-49 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $954.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.76
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.44
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.97
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.44
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.08
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.49
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.44
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.44
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Yes 49% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Yes 1% 83.21 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Yes 1% 83.21 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Yes 1% 53.21 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Yes 1% 53.21 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Yes 1% 30 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Yes 1% 30 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Yes 1% 16.79 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Yes 1% 16.79 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Yes 1% 16.79 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Yes 1% 16.79 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Yes 1% 16.79 shares