Polymarket Trader

plmr

0x5c53fd4b3415a60f696c7f4d321c4313c2f28c30

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $347.99
Realized PnL: $1.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.85K
Potential profit: $9.85K
User PnL: -$14.65

Yes position

Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $20.21
Potential payout: $8.08K
Potential profit: $8.06K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$48.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $66.99
Potential payout: $7.88K
Potential profit: $7.81K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $1.86

Yes position

Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $59.27
Potential payout: $6.24K
Potential profit: $6.18K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$14.41

Yes position

Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $50.59
Potential payout: $5.95K
Potential profit: $5.9K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.99K
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $32.02
Potential payout: $4.27K
Potential profit: $4.24K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $10.34
Potential payout: $4.14K
Potential profit: $4.13K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$10.7

Yes position

Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $37.13
Potential payout: $3.91K
Potential profit: $3.87K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $6.75

Yes position

Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $26.31
Potential payout: $3.51K
Potential profit: $3.48K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $14.81

Yes position

Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $17.87
Potential payout: $2.75K
Potential profit: $2.73K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $470

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 21?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.08

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.2%
Multiplier: 6.58x
User PnL: $128.01

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on March 21?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.17

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on March 28?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.08

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on April 11?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.6

Yes position

Will Solana reach $85 on April 13?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.59

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $80 on April 6?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.67

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $80 on March 29?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.45

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: $52.37

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.03

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $85 on April 14?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.94

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.08

Yes position

Will Solana reach $85 on April 9?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.96

Yes position

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $38.47

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on March 27?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.33

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.62

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on March 21?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.09

No position

Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.16

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.96

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 27?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.5

Yes position

Will Solana reach $85 on April 10?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.56

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $80 on April 1?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.41

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on March 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Steve Ballmer be 2nd richest person on December 31?

Yes 0.3% 368.91 shares
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

No 0.1% 5,000 shares
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

No 15% 60 shares
Dota 2: unknow vs BALU - Game 2 Winner

unknow 0.1% 5,000 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?

No 0.1% 5,000 shares
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?

No 0.1% 5,000 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?

No 0.1% 5,000 shares
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Yes 0.9% 293.01 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

No 0.1% 5,000 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

No 0.1% 5,000 shares