Yes position
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $8.61
- Potential payout
- $82
- Potential profit
- $73.39
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$19.27
Polymarket Trader
LisaSantos8792
0x5c5526f6580673885a688f156be1ec18db836bbe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $107.49
- Realized PnL
- $827.26
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $54.01
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $10.56
$60 position
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $42.56
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $8.44
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $6.35
No position
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.9%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.92
No position
Will there be at least 700 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.45
Yes position
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $88.8
No position
Will LA CANCIÓN be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.46
Yes position
Will King Charles say "Independence" during the joint meeting of Congress?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.95
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.7
No position
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.42
Yes position
Will Trump say “Pocahontas” by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.96
No position
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $29.68
Yes position
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 9 be between 70 and 80?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.05
No position
Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $28.05
Yes position
Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.1
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.86
No position
Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.16
Yes position
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $12.25
No position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $8.22
Yes position
Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.21
No position
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $5.06
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78
Yes position
Will Jerry Heil win Vidbir 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.67
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71%
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?No 71% 343 shares
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?No 67% 205 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No 68% 424 shares
- Will Cuiabá EC win on 2026-04-04?No 49% 136 shares
- Will Cuiabá EC win on 2026-04-04?No 55% 136 shares
- Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?No 74% 30 shares
- Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?No 74% 59 shares
- Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?No 74% 89 shares
- Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?No 74% 112 shares
- Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?No 74% 121 shares
- Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?No 74% 127 shares
- Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?No 74% 23 shares