No position
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $13.49K
- Potential payout
- $13.58K
- Potential profit
- $95.08
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Polymarket Trader
HotDogs
0x5c602835e727c15c3fbcb03039a45dcc55b767c1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.06K
- Realized PnL
- $7.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $4.63K
- Potential payout
- $6.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$705.61
Yes position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $5.85K
- Potential payout
- $6.18K
- Potential profit
- $324.21
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $339.24
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $4.99K
- Potential payout
- $5.01K
- Potential profit
- $25.06
- User PnL
- $107.11
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $1.41K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $18.99
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $407.28
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $68.15
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $1.65K
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $280.06
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $123.11
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $385.26
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $23.33
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $1.31K
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $380.4
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $19.41
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $310.81
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$13.64
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- User PnL
- $18.5
No position
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $280.11
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $54.24
No position
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $951.49
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $148.5
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$11.5
No position
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $875.07
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $172.92
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $410.22
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $874.71
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $136.51
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $50.84
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $900
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $100
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $55
No position
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $665.89
- Potential payout
- $778.82
- Potential profit
- $112.93
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $86.47
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $583.56
- Potential payout
- $720.44
- Potential profit
- $136.88
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $602.67
- Potential payout
- $658.66
- Potential profit
- $55.99
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $11.51
No position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.9%
- Current value
- $545.1
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $54.9
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $5.1
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $392.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $107.5
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $435
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $65
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $412.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $87.5
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$32.5
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-04 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $405
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $95
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $589.94
No position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $566.9
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $556.36
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $474.03
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.51
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.76
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.7
No position
U.S. recession before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.24
No position
Trump removes income tax on individuals making <$150k?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.98
Yes position
Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.76
No position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305.54
No position
Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.44
No position
Will Trump veto a bill in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $258.39
No position
Will Trump attend Paul vs. Tyson?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.65
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.25
Evans position
CO-8 election: Caraveo (D) vs. Evans (R)
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.22
No position
Will Biden pardon Ross Ulbricht?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.07
No position
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.95
No position
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.82
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.5
No position
Will Biden pardon SBF?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.08
No position
Will Kamala Harris announce Presidential run by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.9
No position
GTA VI released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.51
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No 99.4% 1,436.41 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No 97.4% 200 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 98.5% 500 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 55% 5 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 55% 1,500 shares
- Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027?No 72.3% 53.06 shares
- Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?No 65% 14.28 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027?No 73.8% 100 shares
- Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027?No 80% 15.49 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the FL-10 House seat?No 90% 30 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the FL-10 House seat?No 90% 280 shares