No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $19.53
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $11.47
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $2.79
Polymarket Trader
0x5c6c...8162
0x5c6cd7f867f1a5f9f0a478f73002925153048162
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $49.77
- Realized PnL
- -$0.52
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.57
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $16.65
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$7.65
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $9.37
- Multiplier
- 6.73x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $8.98
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $7.7
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.86
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.6%
- Current value
- $3.53
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $4.48
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Current value
- $4.26
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $3.7
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.9%
- Multiplier
- 11.30x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 20% 6 shares
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No 85% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 86.8% 5 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes 13.9% 20 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 89% 5 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 97.2% 8 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 9.8% 11 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?No 69.8% 5 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No 84% 9 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 17% 16 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No 90% 7 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 91.9% 5 shares