0x5c77...8d9c

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $5.54
Potential payout: $61.22
Potential profit: $55.68
Multiplier: 11.05x
User PnL: -$24.46

Athletics position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $58.34
Potential profit: $58.2
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$21.2

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $47.13
Potential payout: $47.16
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $17.13

San Francisco Giants position

San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $38.33
Potential profit: $38.31
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.98

No position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $29.43
Potential payout: $34.62
Potential profit: $5.19
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.57

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $31.74
Potential payout: $31.76
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.74

Seattle Mariners position

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $27.95
Potential payout: $30.74
Potential profit: $2.78
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $7.95

Los Angeles Angels position

Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $6.91
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $22.5
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$3.09

Athletics position

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $28.93
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$9.51

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $22.21
Potential payout: $25.97
Potential profit: $3.77
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $2.21

No position

Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $13.75
Potential payout: $22.92
Potential profit: $9.17
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $20.45
Potential payout: $22.47
Potential profit: $2.02
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91.7%
Current value: $19.88
Potential payout: $21.69
Potential profit: $1.81
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

UFC: Will Conor McGregor Fight in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90.6%
Current value: $19.06
Potential payout: $21.05
Potential profit: $1.99
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $5.88
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $8.82
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: $0.88

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $10.07
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $3.09
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $10.12
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $1.79
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $9.94
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $1.17
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $10.48
Potential payout: $10.54
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $9.99
Potential payout: $10.51
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Texas Rangers position

Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.8

Milwaukee Brewers position

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.29

Houston Astros position

Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.2

Houston Astros position

Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.46

Tampa Bay Rays position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.32

St. Louis Cardinals position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.03

Chicago Cubs position

San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.53

Chicago Cubs position

Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.37

New York Mets position

New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.33

Chicago White Sox position

Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.96

Miami Marlins position

Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Milwaukee Brewers position

Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

No position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.18

Philadelphia Phillies position

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

No position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.08

No position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

Tampa Bay Rays position

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Minnesota Twins position

Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros