Polymarket Trader

IvoM8

0x5c7bd15c159659f5d39ad30d089f7f6d0dc5d463

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $52.13
Realized PnL: $1.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.09K
Potential profit: $14.09K
User PnL: -$14.09

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.22K
User PnL: -$57.34

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $8.57
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $1.9K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$26.21

Yes position

Will no listed leader be out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.28

Yes position

Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $6.52
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$4.75

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $7.13
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$31.86

Yes position

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.07K
User PnL: -$2.65

Yes position

Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.92
Potential profit: $999.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $947.08
Potential profit: $947.08
User PnL: -$2.27

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $945.41
Potential profit: $945.41
User PnL: -$37.82

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $916.99
Potential profit: $916.07
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$4.28

Yes position

Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $901.6
Potential profit: $901.6
User PnL: -$3.52

Yes position

Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $770.66
Potential profit: $770.27
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.01

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $741.16
Potential profit: $741.16
User PnL: -$5.87

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $15.36
Potential payout: $667.96
Potential profit: $652.6
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $616.04
Potential profit: $616.04
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $583.33
Potential profit: $583.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $560.98
Potential profit: $559.58
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $550.73
Potential profit: $550.73
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $7.33
Potential payout: $543.08
Potential profit: $535.75
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $3.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $347.58

No position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $213.68

Yes position

Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.24

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $95.13

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $90.87

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.33

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.72

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.74

Yes position

Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.68

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $57.36

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.33

Yes position

Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.24

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $44.91

Yes position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.74

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.25

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.12

No position

Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.21

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.72

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $32.22

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: $29.46

No position

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.17

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 1% 25 shares
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 150 shares
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 1,464.06 shares
Iran leadership change by June 30?

Yes 0.9% 1,056.86 shares
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 2.2% 3.93 shares
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 2.2% 5.01 shares
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 2.2% 2.85 shares
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 18.9% 71.97 shares
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 2.1% 3.89 shares
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 2.1% 3.35 shares
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 2.1% 3.35 shares
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 2.1% 2.81 shares