Polymarket Trader

110897

0x5c8094618d9cda8aa53d48f5e9bfad76a1afe169

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.29
Realized PnL: $203.84
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.17
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.15
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $2.68
Potential payout: $7.99
Potential profit: $5.31
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $1.96

No position

Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $6.54
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $1.79
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $1.3
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $1.12
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $1.1
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$0.96

No position

New pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.1
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will there be 1-2 North Korea tests in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $1.08
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $1.07
Potential profit: $0.03
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $1.06
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $0.02
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the median home value in Chicago be between $345,000 and $348,000 on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.02
Potential profit: $0.01
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $1.01
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the median home value in New York City be between $599,000 and $606,000 on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the median home value in Chicago be between $348,000 and $351,000 on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?

No 91% 1.1 shares
Will LAB reach $22 before 2027?

Yes 34% 3.7 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Yes 10% 10 shares
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

No 89% 1.12 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?

Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
Will Donald Trump announce Johnny C. Taylor Jr. as the next United States Labor Secretary

No 99% 1.01 shares
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on June 29?

Yes 99% 1.01 shares
Will the median home value in New York City be between $599,000 and $606,000 on June 30?

No 99% 1.01 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Yes 42% 3.12 shares
Ethereum Up or Down on June 29?

Down 84% 1.19 shares
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

No 77% 1.3 shares
Will the median home value in Chicago be between $345,000 and $348,000 on June 30?

No 98% 1.02 shares