Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.51
- Potential payout
- $336.53
- Potential profit
- $335.02
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.49
Polymarket Trader
0x5c847a495Fc2CC40220Fcdf79f83f0bE9473B3A9-1776289008662
0x5c847a495fc2cc40220fcdf79f83f0be9473b3a9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.81
- Realized PnL
- $117.5
- Win rate
- 29.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $332.67
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.88
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $242.95
- Potential profit
- $242.83
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.88
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $6.08
- Potential payout
- $209.52
- Potential profit
- $203.45
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- $3.08
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $7.04
- Potential payout
- $182.94
- Potential profit
- $175.9
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- $4.04
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $780b and $800b on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $120.44
- Potential profit
- $119.9
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.26
- Potential profit
- $105.26
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $1.76
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $78.24
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.38
- Potential profit
- $71.38
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $64.75
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.03
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.61
- Potential profit
- $60.61
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $8.79
- Potential payout
- $60.61
- Potential profit
- $51.82
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$11.21
No position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $3.29
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $55.53
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.28
- Potential profit
- $51.28
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $73.32
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $44.66
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Multiplier
- 4.93x
- User PnL
- $6.28
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Stockport County FC win on 2026-05-13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump say "Winston" or "Churchill" during King Charles visit?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?No 1.7% 58.82 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 1.5% 66.67 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No 2.5% 80 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?No 18% 11.11 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?No 2.8% 71.43 shares
- Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?No 3.3% 60.61 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 1.5% 66.67 shares
- Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 3% 33.33 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?No 2% 50 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 1.5% 66.67 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 1.5% 66.67 shares