Polymarket Trader

2278y

0x5c8987e268b2522fe2007597dcaf4bc49baf2634

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.61
Realized PnL: $21.25
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.09
Potential profit: $14.09
User PnL: -$10.5

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.5
Potential profit: $8.5
User PnL: -$7.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.52
Potential profit: $7.52
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$4.62

No position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 18?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.31
Potential profit: $4.31
User PnL: -$1.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $3.64
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $3.23
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.08
Potential profit: $3.08
User PnL: -$1.97

No position

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.74
Potential profit: $2.74
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $2.18
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87.2%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $2.15
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.63
Potential profit: $1.63
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $1.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $1.35
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $1.32
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28
Potential profit: $1.28
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.26
Potential profit: $1.26
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $1.09
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84

Down position

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on March 18?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 27?

No 88% 1.14 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 26?

No 95.7% 1.04 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 27?

No 87% 1.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

No 94% 2.13 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

No 92% 2.17 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

No 91.7% 2.18 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

No 92.2% 2.17 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 93% 2.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 74.1% 1.35 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 91.9% 1.09 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 5?

No 83% 1.2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 5?

No 94% 1.06 shares