Polymarket Trader

45h8xp65ogca

0x5c9658749fc9ef927eabe45843e309c2e8706885

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.48
Realized PnL: $118.19
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.18
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $131.11
Potential profit: $129.73
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $2.4
Potential payout: $10.91
Potential profit: $8.51
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $6.21
Potential profit: $5.34
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$0.31

No position

Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 67.3%
Current value: $3.97
Potential payout: $5.89
Potential profit: $1.93
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $2.32

Yes position

Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $1.46
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $2.39
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $3.8
Potential profit: $3.14
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.67

No position

Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $2.95
Potential profit: $0.62
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $2.74
Potential profit: $2.18
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $1.76
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $0.91
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $2.49
Potential profit: $1.91
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $1.87
Potential profit: $1.22
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 35.1%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $1.8
Potential profit: $1.17
Multiplier: 2.85x
User PnL: -$0.55

No position

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $0.04
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

1. FC Magdeburg vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.44

No position

Will FC Metz win on 2026-04-05?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.44

76ers position

76ers vs. Hornets

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.59

Fnatic position

LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.88

Kings position

Kings vs. Raptors

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.83

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.86

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.52

Vitality position

Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Spirit (+2.5)

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.41

Mavericks position

Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

CCG Esports position

LoL: Supernova vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

Nongshim Red Force position

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

Texas Rangers position

Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.46

Top Esports position

LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.42

Utica Comets position

AHL: Utica Comets vs. Laval Rocket

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

Pacers position

Heat vs. Pacers

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Eternal Fire position

Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23

Dplus KIA position

LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.08

Under position

Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.06

KRÜ Esports position

Valorant: NRG vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winner

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72

Yes position

Will Trump say "Qatar" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

BESTIA position

Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

76ers position

Spread: Hornets (-5.5)

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Lance Gibson Jr. position

UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 79% 0.04 shares
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Hanwha Life Esports 5% 3.61 shares
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Hanwha Life Esports 44% 3.61 shares
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

GLYPH 11% 0.26 shares
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

GLYPH 5% 6.65 shares
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

GLYPH 23% 6.91 shares
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)

Nongshim Red Force 42% 3.79 shares
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Team Spirit 47% 3.51 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 82% 1.47 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 81% 0.45 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 83% 0.03 shares
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)

Hanwha Life Esports 58% 2.74 shares