Polymarket Trader

discretionary

0x5c9784bf224923c3bdba9823c1b922786d43fa05

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.31K
Realized PnL: $3.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.54K
Potential profit: $2.54K
User PnL: -$2.16K

No position

Will Emiliano Martinez join Bayern Munich?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $495.57
Potential payout: $569.63
Potential profit: $74.05
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $52.07

Yes position

Will Elliot Anderson join Manchester City?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 89.7%
Current value: $446.52
Potential payout: $498.07
Potential profit: $51.55
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$9.48

No position

Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?

Ends Nov 22, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $407.27
Potential payout: $416
Potential profit: $8.74
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $75.61

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $396.6
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $3.4
User PnL: $116.6

No position

Will Elliot Anderson join Inter Milan?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $328.97
Potential payout: $329.46
Potential profit: $0.49
User PnL: $22.97

No position

Will Emiliano Martinez join Manchester United?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $246.82
Potential payout: $248.06
Potential profit: $1.24
User PnL: $21.82

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.6%
Current value: $183.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $16.9
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $13.1

No position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $188.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $11.9
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $125
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $75
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $134.92
Potential payout: $175.22
Potential profit: $40.3
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $17.27

No position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87.6%
Current value: $131.4
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $18.6
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $27.75

No position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $95.25
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $54.75
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $6.75

Yes position

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $73.12
Potential payout: $147.72
Potential profit: $74.6
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $2.22

No position

Will Elliot Anderson join Arsenal?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $47.34
Potential payout: $47.41
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.97
Potential profit: $41.97
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Prince-Osei Owusu win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?

Ends Nov 22, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $11.86
Potential payout: $12.52
Potential profit: $0.66
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16K

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.26

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.92

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.72

No position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.13

Yes position

Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88

Yes position

Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $76

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $72

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Enzo Maresca be the next manager of Manchester City FC?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $37.86

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.05

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.15

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.36

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.6

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.31

Yes position

Grok 4.4 released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $18.09

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.72

No position

DOJ releases Biden ghostwriter tapes by May 31?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.26

No position

Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 83% 5,660.36 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 58% 8,621 shares
Will Elliot Anderson join Manchester City?

Yes 86.8% 91 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

No 76% 200 shares
Will Elliot Anderson join Manchester City?

Yes 92.6% 407.08 shares
Will Emiliano Martinez join Manchester United?

No 90.7% 248.06 shares
Will Emiliano Martinez join Bayern Munich?

No 77.9% 569.63 shares
Will Elliot Anderson join Inter Milan?

No 92.9% 329.46 shares
Will Elliot Anderson join Arsenal?

No 91% 47.41 shares
Will Juan Fernando Quintero be in Colombia's Starting 11?

No 92.6% 161.01 shares
Will Giuliano Simeone be in Argentina's Starting 11?

No 74.8% 390.02 shares
Will Giuliano Simeone be in Argentina's Starting 11?

No 65% 153.85 shares