Yes position
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.98
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Polymarket Trader
Eblan..
0x5ca6bb9f0b256b5b4e7b615217170acb8a106fa8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.16
- Realized PnL
- $798.68
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will South African inflation be between 3.5% and 3.8% in 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.48
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $4.99
- Potential profit
- $4.82
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will South African inflation be less than 2.6% in 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2027- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $3.82
- Potential profit
- $2.62
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $3.49
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $1.01
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 140 and 150 seconds?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $268.6
No position
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.66
No position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.58
No position
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.8
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.43
Yes position
Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.2
Yes position
Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.34
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.86
No position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $12.35
Yes position
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.7
No position
Will Trump say "Mr. Speaker" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.65
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.29
Yes position
Will "I Like It" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.84
No position
Will Trump say "Most Favored Nation" during Ohio visit?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.69
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $7.16
Yes position
Will "Callaita" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.07
No position
Will "Scout" be said 5+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.88
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.72
No position
Will "Peace" be said at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
No position
Will "Pistol" be said 20+ times at the Rotterdam Grand Final?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
Italy position
Men's Group B - Sweden vs. Italy
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia enter Dobropillia by April 30?Yes 1.1% 25 shares
- Will "Crazy" be said 15+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)No 12% 6 shares
- Will "Crack Cocaine" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)Yes 10.3% 1.19 shares
- Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 24, 2026?Yes 10% 5 shares
- Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by March 31?Yes 8% 5 shares
- Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?Yes 9% 7.04 shares
- Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by March 31?Yes 16% 10 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?Yes 5% 5 shares
- Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?Yes 0.7% 132.09 shares
- Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Yes 21.1% 5 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 17?No 4.4% 5.14 shares
- Will Backpack launch a token on March 21?Yes 0.1% 126.79 shares