No position
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $540.69
- Potential payout
- $597.45
- Potential profit
- $56.76
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $69.35
Polymarket Trader
fuseplot
0x5cc0b89e35f22da277ca6aae2cb8a202e57334a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $575.81
- Realized PnL
- $331.5
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $6.44
- Potential payout
- $560
- Potential profit
- $553.56
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$7.2
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $160
- User PnL
- -$63.4
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$32.2
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $16.76
- Potential payout
- $80.01
- Potential profit
- $63.24
- Multiplier
- 4.77x
- User PnL
- $6.12
Yes position
Ukraine hits Moscow by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$11.1
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.09
- Potential profit
- $48.09
- User PnL
- -$1.11
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.9%
- Current value
- $6.34
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $33.66
- Multiplier
- 6.31x
- User PnL
- -$7.4
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $27.15
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$10.35
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.93
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.52
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $2.65
- Potential payout
- $23.08
- Potential profit
- $20.42
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.98
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.26
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.95
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.2
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.32
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will Tesla reach $525 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Yes position
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 46.51x
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Trump post "Hormuz" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Tesla dip to $428 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Tesla reach $495 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.9% 50 shares
- Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No 77% 10 shares
- Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?No 96.3% 20 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 22% 30 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 6.5% 190 shares
- Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No 80% 30 shares
- Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No 81% 90 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 67% 219.99 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 70% 20 shares
- Will Trump post "Hormuz" on Truth Social this week?Yes 96% 10 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 43% 5 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.4% 50 shares