No position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $301.14
- Potential profit
- $301.14
- User PnL
- -$34.74
Polymarket Trader
L1bsss
0x5cc3e4cb39003c523b396558eecd9c0f51b0a8d9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.24
- Realized PnL
- $29.81
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $20.24
- Potential payout
- $20.37
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $9.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.68
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.2
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Trump dance during UFC 327?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
No position
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?Yes 54% 20.37 shares
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?No 10% 58.03 shares
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?No 8% 120.4 shares
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?No 14% 68.97 shares
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?No 18% 53.73 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No 98.4% 36.6 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No 76% 36.61 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No 99.6% 27.93 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No 80% 27.94 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No 99.4% 22.49 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No 91% 22.49 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes 23% 88.98 shares