Polymarket Trader

nonkenny90

0x5cd5c8d7a17c78d7389d8b87b611aed83322ac33

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $245.38K
Realized PnL: $566.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $42.54K
Potential payout: $48.61K
Potential profit: $6.08K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $6.19K

No position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $31.52K
Potential payout: $31.95K
Potential profit: $431.31
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.85K

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $508.12
Potential payout: $30.8K
Potential profit: $30.29K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$82.87

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $28.6K
Potential payout: $29.73K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.07K

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $27.97K
Potential payout: $28.18K
Potential profit: $211.36
User PnL: $1.64K

No position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $19.88K
Potential payout: $20.09K
Potential profit: $210.97
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.73K

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $13.68K
Potential payout: $16.38K
Potential profit: $2.7K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $2.43K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $11.39K
Potential payout: $14.41K
Potential profit: $3.03K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$775.79

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $11.4K
Potential payout: $11.47K
Potential profit: $63.06
User PnL: $197.2

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $5.28K
Potential payout: $7.94K
Potential profit: $2.66K
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$122.24

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $7.22K
Potential payout: $7.25K
Potential profit: $39.9
User PnL: $463.26

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $5.72K
Potential payout: $5.79K
Potential profit: $72.42
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $481.54

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $5.07K
Potential payout: $5.08K
Potential profit: $12.7
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $4.82K
Potential payout: $4.85K
Potential profit: $26.67
User PnL: $93.68

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 71.2%
Current value: $3.15K
Potential payout: $4.43K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$552.65

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $3.96K
Potential payout: $4.08K
Potential profit: $124.56
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $122.1

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $3.95K
Potential payout: $4.01K
Potential profit: $54.09
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $303.61

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $3.55K
Potential payout: $3.93K
Potential profit: $375.12
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$259.54

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 83.3%
Current value: $3.01K
Potential payout: $3.61K
Potential profit: $603.2
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$402.32

Yes position

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $2.02K
Potential payout: $3.23K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$177.7

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $2.38K
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $710
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$137.12

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2.97K
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $5.95
User PnL: $126.55

Yes position

Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $2.41K
Potential payout: $2.53K
Potential profit: $117.69
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$4.79

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $2.39K
Potential payout: $2.53K
Potential profit: $138.93
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $244.94

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.42K

No position

Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.89K

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.29K

No position

Will Solana dip to $110 in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.34K

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.41K

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.15K

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.62K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22K

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.42K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.51K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.27K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.45K

No position

Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.64K

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.19K

No position

Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.09K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.88K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.64K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.92K

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.88K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.97K

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $3200 July 28–August 3?

Ends Aug 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.7K

No position

SpaceX 7th Starship Super Heavy blows up?

Ends Jan 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.69K

No position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.57K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No 92.1% 155 shares
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No 96.3% 481 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 91.1% 1,300 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 90.9% 777 shares
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

No 95.6% 900 shares
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 95% 200 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 72.5% 78 shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

No 95.4% 180 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

No 96.5% 331 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?

No 93.9% 398 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?

No 98.7% 270.27 shares
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?

Yes 97.9% 226 shares