Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
Ends Aug 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $36.5
- Potential profit
- $35.55
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$4.16
Polymarket Trader
0x5cd6...352d
0x5cd6424e511f774976f3101aea67a423460a352d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $20.85
- Realized PnL
- $477.32
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $8.22
- Potential payout
- $22.53
- Potential profit
- $14.31
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$2.32
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $21.8
- Potential profit
- $21.6
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $21.63
- Potential profit
- $20.35
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $16.68
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.61
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $4.13
- Potential payout
- $8.7
- Potential profit
- $4.57
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $7.21
- Potential profit
- $6.14
- Multiplier
- 6.71x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $3.63
- Potential payout
- $4.94
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.9%
- Current value
- $1.34
- Potential payout
- $1.98
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
BetBoom Team position
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.26
Pittsburgh Pirates position
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.5
Over position
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.7
G2 position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.21
Los Angeles Dodgers position
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.79
9z position
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.46
Frances Tiafoe position
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoe
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.9
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.52
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.31
FaZe position
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.24
Paper Rex position
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.25
Vitality position
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.86
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.12
Arthur Fery position
HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.29
Terence Atmane position
Halle Open: Terence Atmane vs Martin Landaluce
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.86
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.27
Lehecka position
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Majchrzak (+1.5)
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.96
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.32
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.17
FUT Esports position
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.47
No position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $9.25
Jiri Lehecka position
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Lehecka
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.98
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 9?Yes 23% 1.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?Yes 55.7% 19.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?Yes 69% 1.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 9?No 92% 1.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 9?No 91% 0.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 9?No 91% 0.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 9?No 89% 0.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 9?No 89% 0.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 9?No 89% 0.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 9?No 89% 0.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?Yes 34.8% 3.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 9?No 73% 1.89 shares