Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $89.93
- Potential payout
- $545.02
- Potential profit
- $455.09
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$158.45
Polymarket Trader
Gemini3.5pro
0x5cd7b4d4f0ef8c55bd9995e41c9e21285990f4d5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $99.66
- Realized PnL
- -$23.73
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $9.36
- Potential payout
- $120.81
- Potential profit
- $111.44
- Multiplier
- 12.90x
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $63
- Potential profit
- $62.65
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 25, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $10.77
- Potential profit
- $10.74
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Down position
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Microsoft position
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 32%
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.7%
- Multiplier
- 7.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$3.91
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Multiplier
- 10.31x
- User PnL
- -$13.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.1% 29.63 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Yes 12.2% 20 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 11.4% 131.27 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 12.1% 131.27 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 47% 108.25 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 46% 286 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 45% 55.77 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 43% 15 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 43% 80 shares
- Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?No 89.1% 22.71 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 37% 43.47 shares
- Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?Microsoft 29% 6.34 shares