Yes position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
Daniel1234abcd
0x5cf64157fb9b2e502509976d8652694654d0d093
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.04
- Realized PnL
- -$83.73
- Win rate
- 12.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $48.04
- Potential payout
- $369.56
- Potential profit
- $321.52
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$38.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will "Donald" or "Trump" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?Yes 14.6% 137.07 shares
- Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?Yes 0.4% 500 shares
- Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?Yes 31% 161.23 shares
- Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?Yes 23% 71.26 shares
- Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No 96.1% 5.43 shares
- Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes 11% 27.77 shares
- Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?No 43.9% 9.09 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 89% 22.47 shares
- Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No 92% 5.43 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?No 42.2% 11.86 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike EditionYes 38% 13.16 shares
- Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?No 55% 9.09 shares