Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $17.28
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $9.72
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Polymarket Trader
0x5d00...95d2
0x5d00da4a229d8dacd67ef57b444f6683c51095d2
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $47.42
- Realized PnL
- -$2.56
- Win rate
- 61.5%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $15.22
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.63
Yes position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.9%
- Current value
- $2.81
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $3.19
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.83
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.4%
- Current value
- $4.22
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.35
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $11.71
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.22
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$5.8
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$13.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 84.4% 5 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?No 71.1% 5 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No 79% 7 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 87% 15 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 92.9% 8 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 79.2% 10 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 81% 10 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 19% 6 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 92.9% 8 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 70.8% 9 shares
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No 92% 7 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 48.3% 5 shares