Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $14.27K
- Potential payout
- $40.76K
- Potential profit
- $26.5K
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $1.73K
Polymarket Trader
EB99999
0x5d0f03cf1243a3e21262d6cf844795afd9fff0ad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29K
- Realized PnL
- $886.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $355.47
- Potential payout
- $39.5K
- Potential profit
- $39.14K
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$2.06K
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $14.3K
- Potential payout
- $32.88K
- Potential profit
- $18.58K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- User PnL
- -$1.87K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $72.79
- Potential payout
- $338.54
- Potential profit
- $265.75
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$5.08
Yes position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $5.7
- Potential payout
- $17.8
- Potential profit
- $12.11
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.21K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.55K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.87K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.15K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.27K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.87K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.3K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.45K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.7K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.23K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29K
Yes position
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $672
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $291.53
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $204.28
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $145.76
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.61
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $98.53
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 4.1% 142.05 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 25% 20,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 46% 1,791.36 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 46% 489.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 72% 12,841.28 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 88.7% 432 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 96.2% 17,289.42 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 96.4% 5,715.58 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 96.3% 360,164.98 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes 3.2% 5,040.54 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 81% 8 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 75% 366.54 shares