Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $57.54
- Potential payout
- $57.54
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $20.41
Polymarket Trader
kellychan
0x5d13dd66bb7a37ac80567ba8444f2eb78f469954
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $92.71
- Realized PnL
- $148.72
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $35.18
- Potential payout
- $55.4
- Potential profit
- $20.22
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $8.59
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $18.87
- User PnL
- -$11.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Under position
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.91
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.35
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
No position
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.48
Under position
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.31
L
Leeds United FC position
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.7
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.69
Under position
Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.44
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.51
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Montenegro position
UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 62% 18.87 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes 65% 30.74 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes 64% 26.8 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes 47% 35.9 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No 32% 44.41 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes 44% 35.91 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No 43% 44.42 shares
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Over 50% 44.74 shares
- Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 46.9% 31.07 shares
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on March 9?Yes 40% 35.58 shares
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF 45% 34.51 shares
- Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Under 57% 26.61 shares