Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $58.5
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $201.5
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$74.1
Polymarket Trader
xfm-2-8
0x5d1a57e55198b04b8606e32312dad74d6458c720
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $58.5
- Realized PnL
- $155.57
- Win rate
- 55.6%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will "Siri" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $56
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- $7.2
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
No position
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Databricks IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
No position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.4
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Kevin Warsh in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 51% 260 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?No 88% 280 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyNo 97.1% 170 shares
- Will Trump talk to Kevin Warsh in February?Yes 49% 190 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 46% 180 shares
- Databricks IPO before 2027?No 47% 190 shares
- Databricks IPO before 2027?No 48% 190 shares
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No 27% 140 shares
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No 33% 140 shares
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No 99.8% 63 shares
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No 99.9% 63 shares