No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $18.24
- Potential payout
- $18.24
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
Polymarket Trader
xhks
0x5d2c96994bf4e48620d871456fe3c67c2d79dce8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.79
- Realized PnL
- $7.98
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11.55
- Potential payout
- $11.55
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.44
- Potential payout
- $10.44
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.44
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.1%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $5.53
- Multiplier
- 5.87x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $3.98
- Potential payout
- $6.27
- Potential profit
- $2.29
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $4.21
- Potential payout
- $4.71
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.48
- Potential profit
- $4.48
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.71
- Potential profit
- $3.71
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $3.23
- Potential payout
- $3.61
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88
India position
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 3)
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.8% 18.24 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 64.7% 3.71 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15% 6.67 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.2% 5.2 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.1% 9.78 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 97.8% 11.55 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 90% 5.73 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No 85% 4.71 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 89% 5.73 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 83% 3.61 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 91% 4.4 shares
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 28% 4 shares