Polymarket Trader

MikeMoore

0x5d2f49295387e01a49f0a3e59449ceed791c4adb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.61K
Realized PnL: $26.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $886.36
Potential payout: $4.55K
Potential profit: $3.66K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$113.63

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $930.42
Potential payout: $3.45K
Potential profit: $2.52K
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$69.58

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.47K
Potential profit: $2.47K
User PnL: -$2K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 78.6%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $429
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $931

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $150
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.05K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 90.6%
Current value: $1.81K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $189
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $710.99

Marta Kostyuk position

Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $1.79K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$984.72

Yes position

Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $965.93
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $728.98
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$34.07

Yes position

Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $1.42K
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $271.19
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $423.73

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.49K
User PnL: -$1K

No position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $451.56
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $876.55
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$137.83

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $987.01
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $311.69
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$12.99

No position

Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $141.98
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $92.59

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.6%
Current value: $915.95
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $95.03
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $66.62

No position

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $985.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $14.5
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $235.5

Ronaldo position

World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $925
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$345

No position

Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $675
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $325
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $95

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $932.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $67.5
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $232.5

Yes position

Will a player representing Portugal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $22
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $978
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will a player representing Netherlands be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $992.99
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$18

No position

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will a player representing Brazil be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $32
Potential payout: $999.97
Potential profit: $967.97
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$58

Up position

HYPE Up or Down on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $995
Potential profit: $995
User PnL: -$497.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3K

No position

Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12K

No position

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91K

No position

Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

$80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

No position

Will Russia capture Dobropillia by August 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

No position

Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Elina Svitolina position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

No position

Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Alexander Zverev position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $894.88

No position

Israel x Syria security deal before September?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $891.49

Yes position

Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $855.59

Yes position

Will the fight go the distance?

Ends Dec 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $754.39

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $711.91

No position

Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $684.4

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $669.78

No position

Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $660.75

No position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $583.59

Yes position

Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $555.68

No position

Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $552.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Scotland be the highest-scoring team in Group C during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 90% 111.07 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

No 77% 1,298.7 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 29% 3,446.02 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

No 99.7% 1,000 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 44.4% 1,328.11 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

No 85% 11.01 shares
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?

No 4.7% 400 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 67% 1,492.54 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 58% 1,697.79 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 64% 1,562.5 shares
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 81% 1,234.57 shares
Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 59% 1,694.92 shares