Y
Yes position
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Polymarket Trader
0x5d37...f007
0x5d373f5f19f31726af391088709ff97e797af007
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$17.43
- Win rate
- 4.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Y
Yes position
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Yes position
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.64
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 32%
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes 57.8% 6 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes 59% 6 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes 59% 6 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes 59% 6 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes 59% 6 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes 59% 6 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes 59% 6 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes 60% 6 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes 58% 7 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes 59% 7 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes 59% 7 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes 58% 7 shares