No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.2%
- Current value
- $80.22
- Potential payout
- $91
- Potential profit
- $10.78
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Polymarket Trader
sdfgb576
0x5d406d9b4da7f2de0c0e352c6043287fbf52e7db
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $233.64
- Realized PnL
- $20.81
- Win rate
- 73.3%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $60.23
- Potential payout
- $62
- Potential profit
- $1.77
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.3%
- Current value
- $40.59
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $3.41
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.34
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Current value
- $34.99
- Potential payout
- $37.99
- Potential profit
- $3
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.1%
- Current value
- $17.61
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $4.39
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.47
- Potential profit
- $4.47
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.51
- Potential profit
- $1.51
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $13.16
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.04
No position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$2.34
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 95.3% 44 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 95.7% 14 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 95.7% 48 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 80.1% 22 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 92.3% 37.99 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 88.5% 34 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 88.5% 57 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 96.1% 27 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 54% 94 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 83% 121 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 94.4% 27 shares
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 95% 58 shares