Polymarket Trader

asdfjsadfioklsdafiosdafnlsdajk

0x5d4b2d63c7461c6cd96cd938ffddf6dbb99ee72f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $456.18
Realized PnL: $614.77
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$1.12

No position

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $185
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $55.49

Yes position

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $38
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $162
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$3.07

Yes position

Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $53.53
Potential payout: $134
Potential profit: $80.47
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$37.62

No position

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $92.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

Ends Oct 17, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $51
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $49
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $14.78
Potential payout: $98.5
Potential profit: $83.73
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$11.82

Yes position

Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $21.37
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $53.63
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$18.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.87

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.41

Yes position

Will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57

Yes position

Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.3

Yes position

Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.13

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

No position

Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.65

Yes position

Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.2

Yes position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

No position

Japanese Snap Election Called by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.49

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 28%
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $15.41

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $15.28

No position

Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

India x Pakistan military clash by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.2

Yes position

Trump out as President in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $6

Yes position

GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.1

Yes position

Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

No position

Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

Yes 39% 100 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 81.6% 189 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 83.1% 100 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 45% 210 shares
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

No 89% 100 shares
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?

Yes 36.4% 38 shares
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?

Yes 35% 62 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?

Yes 90% 60 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 43% 210 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 78.7% 70 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 82% 11 shares
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

No 65% 184 shares