Yes position
August temperature increase greater than 1.29°C?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.47K
Polymarket Trader
carp
0x5d4d3800cb347e766c7ada814cf0eddbeaf24a91
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $180.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.8K
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.34K
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.85K
Yes position
Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?
Ends Dec 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.72K
Yes position
Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?
Ends Nov 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
August temperature increase greater than 1.29°C?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.47K
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.8K
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.34K
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.85K
Yes position
Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?
Ends Dec 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.72K
Yes position
Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?
Ends Nov 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate RFK Jr. for HHS Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.31K
No position
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
Ends Dec 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.95K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.67K
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.33K
Yes position
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06K
Yes position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41K
Yes position
Israel military action against Iraq before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33K
Yes position
Will the October 2024 temperature increase be between 1.29-1.34°C?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.03K
Yes position
Will Matt Eberflus be the next head coach fired?
Ends Jan 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87K
Yes position
Will Trump appoint Karoline Leavitt for White House Press Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99K
Yes position
<180 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65K
Yes position
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross more than $105m opening weekend?
Ends Sep 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6K
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51K
Yes position
Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45K
Kamala position
Who will win the debate according to polls?
Ends Sep 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
Yes position
Will Trump x Rogan interview last 150-180 min?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
Yes position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will DeepSeek run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes 1.6% 120 shares
- Will DeepSeek run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes 1% 173 shares
- Will DeepSeek run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes 1.9% 60 shares
- Will DeepSeek run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes 1.9% 60 shares
- Will DeepSeek run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes 1.9% 53 shares
- Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes 96% 569.03 shares
- Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes 98.8% 1,000 shares
- Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?No 97.9% 4,543.45 shares
- Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?No 96.7% 100 shares
- Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?No 95.7% 309.11 shares
- Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?No 96% 100 shares
- Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?No 94% 100 shares