Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $1.34
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $28.07
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$3.66
Polymarket Trader
Accalia
0x5d4e46160515c0f853322f1dcefa92095a17ea01
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $174.37
- Realized PnL
- $101.56
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will “The Jensen Jacket: Jensen Huang's Tom Ford Leather Jacket” sell for at least $90k at auction?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $20.69
- Potential profit
- $20.49
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $19.53
- Potential payout
- $20.53
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $15.46
- Potential payout
- $16.2
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $7.48
- Potential payout
- $15.12
- Potential profit
- $7.64
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $2.48
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $10.24
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $1.67
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $10.24
- Potential payout
- $10.94
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Kash Patel out by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $10.35
- Potential payout
- $10.7
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $9.89
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $10.46
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $10.26
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $10.06
- Potential payout
- $10.49
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.8%
- Current value
- $6.83
- Potential payout
- $8.15
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $7.7
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Y
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $2.93
- Potential payout
- $7.25
- Potential profit
- $4.31
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$2.07
Yes position
Will Dricus Du Plessis win by KO or TKO?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $1.77
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $4.9
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $2.94
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $3.94
- Potential payout
- $5.75
- Potential profit
- $1.81
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
N
No position
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $5.68
- Potential payout
- $5.75
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $4.86
- Potential payout
- $5.68
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $3.62
- Potential payout
- $4.62
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.32
Yes position
US military action on Yemen before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.11
Yes position
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
Yes position
Bitcoin above $97,000 on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
OMalley position
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
No position
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
9z position
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffs
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03
No position
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Y
Yes position
Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $40m at auction?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.41
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Gold position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,400 on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
US tariff revenue up in Q4 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 17?Yes 51% 5.88 shares
- Will Dricus Du Plessis win by KO or TKO?Yes 30% 6.67 shares
- Fight to Go the Distance?No 58% 3.45 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)Dricus Du Plessis 70% 4.29 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 58.3% 1.72 shares
- Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes 97.4% 20.53 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 95.3% 10.49 shares
- Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?No 33.1% 15.12 shares
- Will “The Jensen Jacket: Jensen Huang's Tom Ford Leather Jacket” sell for at least $90k at auction?No 4.8% 20.69 shares
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 84% 11.9 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?No 90% 11.11 shares
- Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?No 91.4% 10.94 shares