Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.79K
- Potential profit
- $4.79K
- User PnL
- -$699.99
Polymarket Trader
0x5D4EC67C9Fb7958CC6ff6708C1d175D1f2a67a5F-1768453850164
0x5d4ec67c9fb7958cc6ff6708c1d175d1f2a67a5f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1K
- Realized PnL
- $4.58K
- Win rate
- 95.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $2.86K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.42K
- Potential profit
- $2.42K
- User PnL
- -$405
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $56.02
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$43.87
Yes position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$249
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $155.9
- Potential payout
- $944.83
- Potential profit
- $788.93
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$151.1
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $769.23
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $755.27
- Potential profit
- $755.27
- User PnL
- -$130
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $670
- Potential profit
- $670
- User PnL
- -$100.5
Yes position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $53.55
- Potential payout
- $629.95
- Potential profit
- $576.41
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$47.25
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $85.95
- Potential payout
- $554.55
- Potential profit
- $468.59
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$155.04
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.88
- Potential profit
- $499.88
- User PnL
- -$216.95
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $24.47
- Potential payout
- $444.83
- Potential profit
- $420.36
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$89.53
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $442.43
- Potential profit
- $442.43
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $434.78
- Potential payout
- $434.78
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $334.78
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.7%
- Current value
- $70.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $329.4
- Multiplier
- 5.67x
- User PnL
- -$67.6
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.83
- Potential profit
- $344.83
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $315.79
- Potential profit
- $315.79
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.6%
- Current value
- $120.09
- Potential payout
- $311.53
- Potential profit
- $191.43
- Multiplier
- 2.59x
- User PnL
- $20.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $436
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.89
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.69
Yes position
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.96
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.75
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.61
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.82
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.21
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.85
Yes position
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.11
Yes position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.29
Yes position
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.57
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.6
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.4
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes 61% 163.93 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 62% 161.29 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?Yes 43% 232.56 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 32.1% 311.53 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes 23% 434.78 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 31.4% 59.39 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 13% 100 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes 47% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes 5% 1,000 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes 15% 670 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 43% 240 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 32% 300 shares