Polymarket Trader

joshyfb

0x5d5d45fac35f4518d49c0857e9597030e248a37e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $291.03
Realized PnL: $1.7
Win rate: 43.8%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $291.03
Potential payout: $692.92
Potential profit: $401.9
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$68.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168
Potential profit: $168
User PnL: -$6.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$6.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $22
User PnL: -$7.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.55
Potential profit: $3.55
User PnL: -$2.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.9% 1.15 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 86.5% 1.16 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Yes 52% 692.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Down 32% 22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Up 4% 168 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Up 10% 71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Up 46% 16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Down 26% 27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Down 13% 51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Down 33% 22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Up 26% 29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Down 47% 16 shares