Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.1%
- Current value
- $325.86
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $922.65
- Multiplier
- 3.83x
- User PnL
- $74.83
Polymarket Trader
twistedsir
0x5d5e2c43f97006c03e1347ca781f5e139413f3b4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $325.86
- Realized PnL
- $496.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.31
- Potential profit
- $55.31
- User PnL
- -$9.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.56
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Heat
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.41
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.09
Up position
XRP Up or Down - March 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.1
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
Up position
XRP Up or Down - March 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.09
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 20.1% 1,248.51 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 15.9% 1,366.49 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 17.6% 72.9 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 5.6% 1,439.4 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No 69.6% 43.1 shares
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes 4.1% 100 shares
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Yes 0.8% 372.66 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 18% 100 shares
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes 53.7% 37.24 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 45.8% 100 shares
- Utah vs. Golden KnightsUtah 68% 8.1 shares
- Utah vs. Golden KnightsUtah 61% 8.1 shares