No position
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $2.36K
- Potential payout
- $2.67K
- Potential profit
- $312.78
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$62.42
Polymarket Trader
shprota
@shpr0ta1
0x5d709bdd485e86460fc1ac304a65edd6bcfb5044
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.18K
- Realized PnL
- $5.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $865
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $135
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$35
No position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $694.9
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $305.1
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$95.1
No position
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $263.63
- Potential payout
- $301.3
- Potential profit
- $37.66
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$14.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $825.74
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $650.11
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $432.43
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $308.81
No position
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $304.5
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.16
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.8
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.58
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.86
No position
Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.58
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.49
No position
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $67.45
Yes position
Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.38
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $49
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $45.22
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 14?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.71
No position
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $40.65
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.04
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.52
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.44
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.77
No position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 96.3% 119.41 shares
- Ostium FDV above $2B one day after launch?No 96.1% 100 shares
- Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 90.1% 110.1 shares
- Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 96.2% 21 shares
- Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 96.1% 20 shares
- Probable FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 91.1% 48.33 shares
- Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 96.1% 78.41 shares
- Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch?No 24% 20 shares
- Ostium FDV above $2B one day after launch?No 91.2% 100 shares
- Will Curvance launch a token by June 30, 2027?No 23% 5 shares
- Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?No 91.1% 773.3 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?No 36.8% 390.22 shares