Polymarket Trader

t00m

0x5d812daef1133f3655b8b01085b3542ca35d11a2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.28K
Realized PnL: $423.77
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $112.5
Potential payout: $75K
Potential profit: $74.89K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$62.48

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $14.99K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$22.5

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $17.5
Potential payout: $11.67K
Potential profit: $11.65K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$17.49

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $342.02
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $2.63K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$496.14

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $23.44
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $1.85K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$6.56

Yes position

NATO article 5 before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $113.07
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$86.93

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $137.07
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$331.01

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $79.69
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $982.81
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$270.2

Yes position

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $41.07
Potential payout: $622.22
Potential profit: $581.16
Multiplier: 15.15x
User PnL: -$238.93

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $59.41
Potential payout: $505.62
Potential profit: $446.21
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $14.41

No position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $108.93
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $248.21
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $8.93

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $103.47
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $196.53
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$106.53

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $15.75
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $284.24
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$21.45

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $37.98
Potential payout: $261.91
Potential profit: $223.93
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$17.02

Yes position

Will Paraguay reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $19.76
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $210.24
Multiplier: 11.64x
User PnL: -$10.24

No position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.43
Potential profit: $214.43
User PnL: -$92.2

Yes position

Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $45.94
Potential payout: $187.5
Potential profit: $141.56
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $15.94

Yes position

Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $12.06
Potential payout: $157.61
Potential profit: $145.56
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: -$7.94

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $428.66

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.11

Yes position

Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.51

No position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$87.5

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$102

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

No 54% 14.81 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

No 3% 214.41 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

No 43% 80 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

No 43% 348.84 shares
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 28% 357.14 shares
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.7% 157.61 shares
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 187.5 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.9% 505.62 shares
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 15,000 shares
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 11,666.67 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 1,875 shares
Will Paraguay reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13% 230 shares