No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $15.8
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $24.2
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Polymarket Trader
lewis424tobin
0x5d843cbc607ee3e0e4b9a1c6d3ce1ffd9c424afd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.8
- Realized PnL
- $9.22
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2600 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Y
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 2–9?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Payton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will federal spending decrease by $500-750b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Amazon buy TikTok?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 77°F or higher on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 46% 1 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 6% 35 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 84% 46 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 74% 53 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 75% 53 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 5.8% 45 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 20% 8 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 88.7% 44 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 53% 31 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 53% 32 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 96.9% 41 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 31% 40 shares