No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $3.11K
- Potential payout
- $3.6K
- Potential profit
- $485.98
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $361.33
Polymarket Trader
Zenith-Nadir
0x5d867c8eea61f5459075db1c5f1cadad162a5073
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.28K
- Realized PnL
- $6.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $190.39
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $83.04
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $48.45
- Potential payout
- $97.88
- Potential profit
- $49.43
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $818.44
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $713.1
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $477.84
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $476.5
Yes position
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $368.2
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $351.82
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- $328.16
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.62
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.25
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.35
Yes position
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.16
No position
Chirayu Rana sued?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $184.16
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.74
Yes position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- $171.35
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $166.68
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $165.62
No position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $157.11
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.23
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $152.12
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.55
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.45
No position
Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $132.4
No position
Will AI be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.5
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No 50% 97.88 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 19% 257.63 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No 81.7% 666.71 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 83.8% 638.96 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 33.4% 1,602.65 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 51.4% 373.83 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 6% 600 shares
- Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?No 71.5% 218.46 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 76.9% 28.52 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 18% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 18% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 65% 498.04 shares