Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $769.23
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$13.77
Polymarket Trader
sdegjn
0x5d8aa518277045a9ba53c0a89f06d44874ff5771
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $769.23
- Realized PnL
- -$1.95K
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$315
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Solana Up or Down on January 23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.58
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$39.55
Up position
XRP Up or Down on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$907.7
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.28K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes 29% 20 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?Yes 63% 500 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 74% 1,000 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 64% 1,000 shares
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 80.1% 1,300 shares
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 80.3% 310 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 65% 700 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 68% 700 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 41.6% 93.14 shares
- Solana Up or Down on January 23?Up 60% 3,000 shares