Yes position
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.1%
- Current value
- $159.02
- Potential payout
- $386.91
- Potential profit
- $227.89
- Multiplier
- 2.43x
- User PnL
- $62.61
Polymarket Trader
imthetrueghost
0x5d915de71f7a72e70823995e7cf5c4e5488635b8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $159.02
- Realized PnL
- $673.7
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Miami Marlins position
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.53
- Potential profit
- $73.53
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $396.15
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $362.3
Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.01
Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.74
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.2
No position
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.88
Team Yandex position
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Waymo launch in Washington DC by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Waymo launch in New York City by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Tundra Esports position
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.33
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.7
No position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$699.23
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$705.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?Yes 24.9% 386.91 shares
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins 68% 73.53 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes 78% 3,685.29 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?Yes 92.8% 2,156.02 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?Yes 90.7% 2,206.27 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?No 6.3% 849.72 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes 89.8% 2,226.97 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes 92.1% 2,172.33 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes 91% 1,099.05 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes 88.9% 1,124.77 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?No 81% 13.51 shares
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?Yes 95.4% 820.56 shares