Polymarket Trader

Abcde12345

0x5d9243aa5aca7dd5b568e72e2c825b048d61d298

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.68
Realized PnL: $3.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$67.2

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750.1
Potential profit: $750.1
User PnL: -$96.26

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600.01
Potential profit: $600.01
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $588
Potential profit: $588
User PnL: -$105.84

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$336

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$288.6

No position

Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.67
Potential profit: $266.67
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $213.79
Potential profit: $213.79
User PnL: -$30.79

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$94

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $8.68
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $191.32
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$15.32

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $162.69
Potential profit: $162.69
User PnL: -$80

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$40

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.77
Potential profit: $76.77
User PnL: -$40

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.82
Potential profit: $40.82
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

New Pope before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $579.57

Yes position

New Pope in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $443.33

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $378.43

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.59

No position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.04

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 59.1%
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $146.01

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.08

Yes position

Will Trump say "Obama" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?

Ends May 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.21

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.2

No position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his May 13 interview?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.43

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.39

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.2

Yes position

10-year Treasury yield >4.5% next Friday?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Up 47.8% 167.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Up 47% 170.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Up 49.2% 162.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Down 52.1% 76.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Up 50% 80 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Up 48.5% 82.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Up 51% 78.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Up 51% 78.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Down 49% 40.82 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 58.1% 310 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Down 50% 160 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Down 50% 80 shares