Polymarket Trader

CalculatedTrades

0x5d948c3dc2456c6660f733f7c85ada121288232e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.73K
Realized PnL: $13.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $3.17K
Potential payout: $3.39K
Potential profit: $220.36
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $84.76

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $563.25
Potential payout: $602.41
Potential profit: $39.16
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $63.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.76
Potential profit: $249.76
User PnL: -$98.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.88
Potential profit: $209.88
User PnL: -$98.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.89
Potential profit: $199.89
User PnL: -$9.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.56
Potential profit: $132.56
User PnL: -$99.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.56
Potential profit: $50.56
User PnL: -$19.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.88
Potential profit: $30.88
User PnL: -$9.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.07
Potential profit: $9.07
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.61
Potential profit: $6.61
User PnL: -$4.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $803.52

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $767.12

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $744.18

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $520.28

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $501.64

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $486.7

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480.17

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299.65

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.83

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.28

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.41

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.79

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.41

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.68

No position

Will MicroStrategy market cap dip to $50b in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $113.18

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.94

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 91% 3,390.11 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.4% 3,104.33 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 59% 3,104.34 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Up 84% 117.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Down 39.5% 246.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Up 74.8% 131.37 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Down 99.1% 10.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Down 92% 10.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Down 75% 6.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Down 99.1% 10.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Down 91% 10.95 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Down 91% 10.95 shares