Polymarket Trader

luckyborn

0x5da6cd2742d232d8bb71d3f8e3eadc0fd567370d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $210.85
Realized PnL: $764.39
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $55.2
Potential payout: $441.63
Potential profit: $386.43
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$16.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$1.5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.68
Potential profit: $77.68
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $34.52
Potential payout: $42.1
Potential profit: $7.58
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $5.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.75
Potential profit: $37.75
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $30.59
Potential payout: $34.57
Potential profit: $3.98
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $29.03
Potential payout: $31.56
Potential profit: $2.52
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $9.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.4
Potential profit: $29.4
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.12
Potential profit: $27.12
User PnL: -$1.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.67
Potential profit: $26.67
User PnL: -$3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $19.87
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $6.45
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$0.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $20.94
Potential payout: $24.49
Potential profit: $3.55
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $4.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.84
Potential profit: $22.84
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $20.7
Potential payout: $22.26
Potential profit: $1.56
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.86
Potential profit: $18.86
User PnL: -$3.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$5

Up position

XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.79
Potential profit: $15.79
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.6
Potential profit: $15.6
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.36
Potential profit: $15.36
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.34
Potential profit: $15.34
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.12

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: $77.4

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.12

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.74

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.04

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $18.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.37

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.78

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.64

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 90.4%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $12.29

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 26?

Yes 81% 2.28 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24?

Yes 87% 1.15 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?

Yes 88% 4.36 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?

Yes 83% 4.41 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?

Yes 84% 1.98 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?

No 16% 65.54 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?

Yes 84% 23.81 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 26?

Yes 81% 1.23 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24?

Yes 83% 4.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 20?

Down 7% 17.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 20?

Down 8% 54 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21?

Yes 96.3% 4.11 shares