Yes position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- User PnL
- -$97.47
Polymarket Trader
0x5da75Be94a0a71F81D8407b23f7caC63AdF1aD2F-1763022097047
0x5da75be94a0a71f81d8407b23f7cac63adf1ad2f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $219.48
- Realized PnL
- $2.54K
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $169.35
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$330.64
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $50.13
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $199.88
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- -$34.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.97
No position
Will Trump say "Ass" during WEF Address on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.31
Yes position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $88.8
Yes position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.95
No position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.29
Yes position
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.48
Yes position
Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.15
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.87
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Nickal position
UFC 322: Vieira vs. Nickal (Middleweight, Prelims)
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Yes position
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.64
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Switzerland by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will no listed leader be out in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 24 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 27 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 26 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 25 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.77
Yes position
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.41
Yes position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.23
Yes position
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Manager in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.48
Della Maddalena position
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Yes 5% 1,949.4 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Yes 31% 1,612.9 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Yes 22% 2,272.73 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 0.4% 45.45 shares
- Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?Yes 15% 1,335.67 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 18% 322.74 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes 52% 192.31 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 31% 322.74 shares
- Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes 8.2% 1,220.38 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?Yes 0.4% 1,318.35 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 19% 1,411.74 shares
- Will Trump say "Ass" during WEF Address on January 21?No 99.9% 499.98 shares