No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $6.52K
- Potential payout
- $6.96K
- Potential profit
- $441.87
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $393.04
Polymarket Trader
winnnar
0x5dafe2fc4d140d4a5741240ce178d2459b1263f3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $27.81K
- Realized PnL
- $1.35K
- Win rate
- 63.6%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.29K
- Potential payout
- $5.3K
- Potential profit
- $13.25
- User PnL
- $256.5
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $3.32K
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $15.01
- User PnL
- $347.72
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $2.9K
- Potential payout
- $2.97K
- Potential profit
- $66.8
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $115.45
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.94K
- Potential payout
- $2.95K
- Potential profit
- $7.38
- User PnL
- $137.13
No position
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $2.55K
- Potential payout
- $2.58K
- Potential profit
- $23.19
- User PnL
- $189.82
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.51K
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $104.96
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $141.55
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $805.94
- Potential payout
- $806.35
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- User PnL
- $55.72
No position
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $570.88
- Potential payout
- $579.87
- Potential profit
- $8.99
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $39.57
No position
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $462.1
- Potential payout
- $499.57
- Potential profit
- $37.47
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $6.3
No position
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $373.83
- Potential payout
- $417.68
- Potential profit
- $43.86
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.09
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $288.93
- Potential payout
- $312.36
- Potential profit
- $23.43
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $4.93
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $269.46
- Potential payout
- $270
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- User PnL
- $12.15
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$27
No position
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.4%
- Current value
- $13.01
- Potential payout
- $35.73
- Potential profit
- $22.72
- Multiplier
- 2.75x
- User PnL
- -$2.97
Utah position
Utah vs. Golden Knights
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.87
- Potential profit
- $7.87
- User PnL
- -$7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $831.16
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $569.95
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.8
Yes position
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.17
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.42
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.28
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.34
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.02
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.13
Canadiens position
Lightning vs. Canadiens
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.73
No position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
Hurricanes position
Hurricanes vs. Senators
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Ducks position
Oilers vs. Ducks
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Flyers position
Flyers vs. Penguins
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
N
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$35.95
No position
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$43
Yes position
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$199.92
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$248
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$300.12
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$577.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No 89% 51.8 shares
- Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No 89% 25.9 shares
- Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No 89% 30 shares
- Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No 89% 30 shares
- Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No 89% 179.99 shares
- Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 13% 100 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 80% 15 shares
- Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 37.1% 175.86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83.9% 1,000 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 92% 100 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.3% 100 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 96% 210 shares