Yes position
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $2.44
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Polymarket Trader
paula86
0x5dcc463d53e63011c38485f6fd1218a0c949e7a0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.75
- Realized PnL
- -$5.34
- Win rate
- 42.1%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $1.67
- Potential payout
- $2.15
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $2.15
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on February 3?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.53
No position
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Will the price of Solana be above $180 on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Powell say "Stock Market" during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Solana dip to $100 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Tesla dip to $375 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 17-23?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Wild position
Wild vs. Hurricanes
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.09
Yes position
Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.41
No position
Will XRP dip to $1.90 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.66
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.8
No position
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.23
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 November 24-30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.31
Yes position
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.97
Over position
Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: O/U 45.5
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 61% 2.15 shares
- Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?Yes 68% 2.44 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of February?Yes 58% 3.1 shares
- Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?No 67% 2.15 shares
- Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 81% 1.47 shares
- Will Tesla dip to $375 in January?No 82% 2.06 shares
- Will Powell say "Stock Market" during January press conference?No 73% 3.52 shares
- Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?No 26% 6.19 shares
- Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: O/U 45.5Over 52% 3.87 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 58% 2.43 shares
- Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: O/U 45.5Over 52% 5.21 shares
- Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?Yes 59% 3.49 shares