Polymarket Trader

europa

0x5dd16dafa38f55698cde3b84dc4414f1b77da343

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $265.78
Realized PnL: $263.02
Win rate: 55.6%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$42

Yes position

Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$247

No position

India military action against Pakistan before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $423.28
Potential profit: $423.28
User PnL: -$193

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Liberals win majority in Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.64
Potential profit: $138.64
User PnL: -$81

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 67.3%
Current value: $81.82
Potential payout: $121.66
Potential profit: $39.84
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$8.18

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.63
Potential profit: $120.63
User PnL: -$23

No position

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $73.21
Potential payout: $118.08
Potential profit: $44.87
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $11.81

No position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $80.59
Potential payout: $101.31
Potential profit: $20.72
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$4.41

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.3
Potential profit: $81.3
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$3

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.86
Potential profit: $42.86
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $30.16
Potential payout: $31.91
Potential profit: $1.76
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $15.16

Yes position

Florian Wirtz: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 28.6%
Multiplier: 3.50x
User PnL: $194.02

No position

FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.97

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.86

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.58

No position

Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will the PPC win 4 seats in the next Canadian Election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.28

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$7.21

Putin position

Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the PPC win 5 or more seats in the next Canadian Election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$64.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 30.1% 714 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 67% 59.7 shares
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 11.1% 714.28 shares
Florian Wirtz: 1+ goals

Yes 23% 4.35 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 47% 31.91 shares
Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Germany 35% 42.86 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 61.5% 81.3 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 48% 20.83 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 74% 27.03 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 80.7% 61.96 shares
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 7% 1,428.57 shares
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

No 52% 118.08 shares