Polymarket Trader

0x5dd4c7752BBcB24f091ffD7ADfD663C767a5ad53-1760895491974

0x5dd4c7752bbcb24f091ffd7adfd663c767a5ad53

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.01K
Realized PnL: $1.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $5.63
Potential payout: $3.75K
Potential profit: $3.74K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.38

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$300

No position

Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $816.25
Potential payout: $824.5
Potential profit: $8.25
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $114.25

Yes position

Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $598.32
Potential payout: $803.11
Potential profit: $204.79
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$81.68

No position

Trump meets with Putin by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $594.9
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $5.1
User PnL: $24.9

Yes position

Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $430
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $70
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $349.45
Potential payout: $439.56
Potential profit: $90.11
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$50.55

Yes position

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $184.06
Potential payout: $289.86
Potential profit: $105.8
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$15.94

Yes position

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $183.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $66.25
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$16.25

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $238.32
Potential payout: $244.05
Potential profit: $5.74
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $38.32

No position

Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $201.8
Potential payout: $220.55
Potential profit: $18.75
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $188.63
Potential profit: $188.53
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$119.41

Yes position

Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $161.75
Potential payout: $161.99
Potential profit: $0.24
User PnL: $11.75

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $149.18
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $0.82
User PnL: $23.48

Yes position

Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $93.56
Potential payout: $138.61
Potential profit: $45.05
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$6.44

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.53
Potential profit: $81.53
User PnL: -$75.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.04

No position

US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.62

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.47

No position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.15

No position

Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.61

No position

Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.34

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.11

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.2

No position

Will another country strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.7

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.88

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.91

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.73

No position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.06

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

No position

Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 15?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.43

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

Yes position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.35

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.63

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.14

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.08

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 10% 565.85 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

No 83.8% 150 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 33.2% 150.39 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 49% 204.08 shares
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 80% 250 shares
Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?

No 90.7% 220.55 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 81.9% 244.05 shares
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 70% 415.82 shares
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 79% 500 shares
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?

No 66.8% 224.5 shares
Trump meets with Putin by June 30?

No 95% 600 shares
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?

No 92% 600 shares