Yes position
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $53.39
- Potential payout
- $21.36K
- Potential profit
- $21.3K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.73
Polymarket Trader
0x5dDde3B22F24AE9bf2de418882437F84D1990014-1765425723126
0x5ddde3b22f24ae9bf2de418882437f84d1990014
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.99K
- Realized PnL
- $1.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $25.84
- Potential payout
- $10.33K
- Potential profit
- $10.31K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.86
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.51K
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $11.38
- User PnL
- $11.31
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $877.4
- Potential payout
- $916.82
- Potential profit
- $39.42
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$12.64
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $299.26
- Potential payout
- $300.01
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $106.32
- Potential payout
- $117.48
- Potential profit
- $11.16
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $16.89
Yes position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.79
- Potential profit
- $114.79
- User PnL
- -$83.97
Yes position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $14.88
- Potential payout
- $114.46
- Potential profit
- $99.58
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $8.7
- Potential payout
- $96.66
- Potential profit
- $87.96
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $3.78
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $56.22
- Multiplier
- 15.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.8%
- Current value
- $39.56
- Potential payout
- $51.55
- Potential profit
- $11.98
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $5.28
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $7.12
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $27.88
- Multiplier
- 4.92x
- User PnL
- -$9.67
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $30.34
- Potential profit
- $25.35
- Multiplier
- 6.08x
- User PnL
- -$12.16
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.3%
- Current value
- $17.88
- Potential payout
- $25.1
- Potential profit
- $7.22
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $2.12
- Potential payout
- $24.98
- Potential profit
- $22.86
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $19.25
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.59
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.1
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.51
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $78.14
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.78
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.89
Yes position
Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.32
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.27
Yes position
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the April Meeting?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.69
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.51
Yes position
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.8
Yes position
Will Don Lemon be criminally charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.05
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.07
Yes position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.33
Yes position
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $41.74
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.96
Yes position
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.77
Yes position
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.06
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37
Yes position
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.9
Yes position
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.71
No position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.74
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.51
No position
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 57.1% 5 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 95% 30 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 31.3% 5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 500 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 66.9% 5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 2.1% 50 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 78.9% 5 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 69.2% 5 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 52.7% 5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 19.8% 10 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 98% 16.19 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 78.6% 9.94 shares