Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.8%
- Current value
- $5.35
- Potential payout
- $5.9
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Polymarket Trader
0x5dF42591abdED4ef338b3b75a80272a1427461D9-1769948427263
0x5df42591abded4ef338b3b75a80272a1427461d9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.25
- Realized PnL
- $464.15
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $4.79
- Potential payout
- $5.35
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.6%
- Current value
- $4.67
- Potential payout
- $5.33
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.7%
- Current value
- $2.44
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.96
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.88
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Solana Up or Down - June 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETUp 90.3% 3.32 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETUp 33% 15.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETUp 32% 15.63 shares
- Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETDown 95% 3.16 shares
- Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETDown 97.1% 3.09 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETDown 90.5% 11.05 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETDown 97% 10.31 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETUp 97% 10.31 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETDown 97% 10.31 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETDown 96% 10.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp 97% 10.31 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETDown 94% 10.64 shares